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Following the lifting of pandemic control measures at the end of 2022, China’s consumer market has rebounded strongly. National total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 8.2% y-o-y in H1 2023, with the contribution rate of final consumption expenditure to economic growth reaching a record-high 77.2%. Domestic demand is now firmly established as the main engine of economic growth.

At the same time, the impact of COVID-19 on the consumption, lifestyles, and values ​​of domestic residents is accelerating the emergence of structural trends that will have a far-reaching impact on the retail sector in areas ranging from store strategy to sustainable development. These trends will also influence demand for retail properties and asset management.

This report by CBRE identifies the main trends characterising China’s retail property market in the post-pandemic era and provides recommendations for retail occupiers, investors and developers preparing to navigate what will be a critical period for the cyclical recovery of China’s retail market and normalisation of domestic consumption.

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/retail-in-the-post-pandemic-era-trends-and-opportunities

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Retail leasing demand in the world’s leading retail markets continues to rebound as economic activity recovers in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. The Tokyo retail market is no exception, with a resurgence in retailer demand having commenced in H2 2022.

In addition to existing retailers looking to increase their store numbers, several overseas brands have made their first ventures into the Japanese market. As was the case prior to the pandemic, Tokyo continues to be a preferred location for retailers seeking to establish or extend their store presence.

This report compares Tokyo with several of the world’s other major retail markets including New York, London, Paris, Milan, Shanghai, Hong Kong, and Singapore and explores the following factors that make Tokyo, and Japan as a whole, an attractive location for retailers to establish stores.

Tokyo: Rents are reasonable when compared to city GDP
Japan: E-commerce ratio as a percentage of total retail sales is low
Japan: Inbound tourist numbers and tourist consumption have demonstrated considerable scope for growth

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/viewpoints/tokyo-the-city-of-choice-for-retailers

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Asia Pacific is continuing to witness aggressive expansion across primary and secondary data centre markets with 9.7GW operational, 3.3GW under construction and 8.5GW in planned stages across the region.

The usual primary markets, Beijing, Hong Kong, Mumbai, Seoul, Shanghai, Sydney and Tokyo, continue to experience growth despite headwinds originating from a lack of land parcels and power availability. As a result, ancillary locations are being evaluated as part of expansion strategies. The moratorium’s cap on Singapore’s IT capacity has led to unmet demand in the market, which has spilt over into nearshore markets such as Johor, which is seeing a huge pipeline under development and commitments to land banks. Similarly, Greater Jakarta’s large pipeline is driven by its central geographic location in South-East Asia and the country’s immense population growth has sustained its appeal to major investors and operators.

Global cloud service providers (CSP) continue to show a marked interest in secondary markets across the region. Hyperscale CSPs have planned presence in the secondary markets of Auckland, Bangkok, Busan, Kuala Lumpur, Osaka, Pune and Taipei.  The tendency for colocation operators, developers and investors to follow CSPs into new frontiers with their own data centre deployments will see secondary markets attract new players and witness rapid growth over the next few years.

The Asia Pacific data centre region is experiencing varying speeds of development and so, for the first time, we have introduced our Asia Pacific Data Centre Markets Maturity Index, to track the evolution of a number of notable markets each quarter. This report will delve into 12 notable markets: Tokyo, Mumbai, Sydney, Singapore, Seoul, Johor, Jakarta, Hong Kong, Manila, Bangkok, Auckland, and Ho Chi Minh City.

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Gross leasing activity across the top seven cities of India was recorded at 12.7 mn sq ft in Q2 2023, building on the market traction sustained from the previous quarter and signalling the resilience in India’s office sector. In comparison to H1, gross leasing was also up by 2.5%, showing India’s office markets being clearly insulated from the global headwinds’ impact.

Net absorption is up 4% q-o-q but is typified by occupiers remaining slightly bearish on big expansion plans given the still swirling global headwinds of economic uncertainty. India’s net absorption across the top seven cities broke its declining trend to be at a three-quarter high. While occupiers do remain slightly bearish on expansion activity, India continues to see growth from its domestic firms and global occupiers spreading their wings, albeit at a slightly slower pace.

Space requirements have now stabilized and are showing signs of recovery with deal closures being rolled over and replaced by new requirements, keeping the demand pie intact. While the global headwinds and tech sluggishness would continue to be limiting factors, India’s resilience in the past six months is expected to sustain over the remainder of the year as well. Transaction closures will be relevant to the forecasts of 2023 with any slippages likely to keep 2023 slightly muted but positively impact the years beyond.

Key trends in office segment in Q2 2023

  • Net absorption recovers to 7.95 mn sq ft; highest in three quarters
  • Quarterly supply at 10.5 mn sq ft; up by 5.3% q-o-q
  • Tech continues to lead quarterly occupier activity; flex consolidates its growth and is in second spot
  • Rental growth endures across all major cities
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In recent years, the residential market has consistently embarked on a new chapter of growth, driven by buoyant consumer sentiment, robust property launches, competitive pricing, and a conducive interest rate regime. The strength of the residential market is evident from the robust sales volume recorded in the first half of 2023, with more than 62,000 units sold in each of the two quarters.

Notably, Q2 2023 saw sales of over 64,500 units, representing a 4% quarter-on-quarter growth. Interestingly, residential sales have consistently reached new peaks in each successive quarter over the past year. Aligning with this trend, Q2 2023 surpassed the previous historic high achieved in Q1 2023, making it the highest quarterly sales since 2008.

Key trends in residential market in Q1 2023 and H1 2023:

  • Backed by quality launches, quarterly sales set new benchmarks
  • Residential sales surge to a 15-year high in H1 2023
  • Sales of the premium segment apartments showed an upward trend
  • New launches remain buoyant in Q2 2023 and H1 2023
  • Bengaluru, Mumbai, and Pune constituted 62% of the quarterly sales
  • Robust demand leads to rise in capital values across the top 7 cities in India
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