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The real assets sector in the Asia Pacific is undergoing rapid transformation due to technological advancements, shifting demographics, and evolving investor preferences.

Governments in the region are introducing regulatory reforms to promote sustainable development and safeguard stakeholders' interests. Despite challenges, the region's fast-growing economies present ample opportunities for smart investors, especially with the focus on alternative asset types and sustainability initiatives.

Find out more about key regulatory developments for different markets in the APREA Real Assets Bulletin. The bulletin covers ongoing challenges and the actions that are being taken to mitigate them.

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Global markets continued their journey of price discovery during Q1 2023, with investment activity subdued relative to previous years. The pricing alignment is most likely happening first in North America and Japan. For other locations, market yields/cap rates face another quarter of adjustments, before stabilizing.

Colliers Global Capital Markets - Insights & Outlook Report unveils the impact of interest rates on real estate pricing and investment volumes across the world. Aside from examining inflation trends globally, the report also analyses the impact on real estate pricing going forwards based on the Central Banks’ likely path on policy rates. 

Over the coming months, we will be looking at markets by sector and providing fresh Asia Pacific insights along with global markets research.

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Southeast Asia (SEA) is expected to be one of the leading sources of growth for the global economy as the United States and Europe tiptoe around a potential recession. Cushman & Wakefield’s latest paper explores how SEA real estate market is positioned to develop given the latest economic and property trends. The report looks at the impact of China’s re-opening and rising interest rates and provide our views on investment opportunities, rents and capital value outlook for major property markets in SEA.

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Despite the rapid change and uncertainty experienced worldwide last year, CBRE retains a relatively positive outlook for the Asia Pacific commercial real estate market in 2023.

From an economic perspective, inflation is expected to ease, and interest rates in the region are set to stabilise in the second half of 2023.

Office demand will be solid, driven by the recovery in mainland China, while retailers will adopt a positive, albeit prudent, approach to expansion.

Logistics demand is forecasted to pull back as e-commerce growth normalises, while hotel performance is expected to surpass pre-pandemic levels.

In the capital markets, investors will stay in wait-and-see mode until there is firm evidence that interest rates have peaked, with purchasing expected to pick up significantly in the second half of the year.

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/books/asia-pacific-real-estate-market-outlook-2023

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Economy

  • Significant headwinds lie ahead for Singapore’s small and open economy amid a deterioration in the external economic environment. A silver lining exists however with the reopening of China’s borders and the continued recovery in international travel and tourism. GDP growth is projected to ease to 0.5% – 2.5% in 2023.​

Office

  • Prime office rents are expected to continue growing in 2023, albeit at slower rate. The softer market conditions in 2023 could provide a window of opportunity for occupiers to reset and reassess their office requirements. Tenants who are inclined to reduce their office footprint can consider upgrading to smaller but better-quality offices.

Industrial

  • With a significant amount of hi-tech supply entering the market in 2023, it will be an opportune time for occupiers to evaluate their space requirements and secure quality and centrally-located space.
  • Prime logistics supply for 2023 is still expected to be tight. Logistics occupiers with large space requirements should plan their expansion needs two years in advance or consider build-to-suit solutions.

Retail

  • Retail rents in all submarkets will grow further in 2023, particularly in Orchard Road which is likely to benefit from the projected increase in tourist arrivals. Crowds have returned to office areas, which will stimulate leasing demand in CBD retail. Meanwhile, the suburban market will continue to register rental increases amid strong demand.

Residential

  • Residential rents have seen a historic run-up since 2021 due to tight supply and robust demand. This unrelenting surge in rents is expected to face resistance in 2023 amid a significant increase in completions. Correspondingly, price growth which was underpinned by strong economic growth and rising rents is set to moderate due to a weaker economic outlook.

Capital Markets

  • Despite softening investor sentiments, due to its business-friendly policies and stable political backdrop, Singapore remains a top investment destination in 2023 for investors who are looking to capture the growth potential in Southeast Asia and/or diversify their portfolios.

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com.sg/insights/reports/2023-singapore-real-estate-market-outlook

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