Market Outlook

Despite the rapid change and uncertainty experienced worldwide last year, CBRE retains a relatively positive outlook for the Asia Pacific commercial real estate market in 2023.

From an economic perspective, inflation is expected to ease, and interest rates in the region are set to stabilise in the second half of 2023.

Office demand will be solid, driven by the recovery in mainland China, while retailers will adopt a positive, albeit prudent, approach to expansion.

Logistics demand is forecasted to pull back as e-commerce growth normalises, while hotel performance is expected to surpass pre-pandemic levels.

In the capital markets, investors will stay in wait-and-see mode until there is firm evidence that interest rates have peaked, with purchasing expected to pick up significantly in the second half of the year.

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/books/asia-pacific-real-estate-market-outlook-2023

Download the ReportDownload the Report Read More

Economy

• Significant headwinds lie ahead for Singapore’s small and open economy amid a deterioration in the external economic environment. A silver lining exists however with the reopening of China’s borders and the continued recovery in international travel and tourism. GDP growth is projected to ease to 0.5% – 2.5% in 2023.​

Office

• Prime office rents are expected to continue growing in 2023, albeit at slower rate. The softer market conditions in 2023 could provide a window of opportunity for occupiers to reset and reassess their office requirements. Tenants who are inclined to reduce their office footprint can consider upgrading to smaller but better-quality offices.

Industrial

• With a significant amount of hi-tech supply entering the market in 2023, it will be an opportune time for occupiers to evaluate their space requirements and secure quality and centrally-located space.

• Prime logistics supply for 2023 is still expected to be tight. Logistics occupiers with large space requirements should plan their expansion needs two years in advance or consider build-to-suit solutions.

Retail

• Retail rents in all submarkets will grow further in 2023, particularly in Orchard Road which is likely to benefit from the projected increase in tourist arrivals. Crowds have returned to office areas, which will stimulate leasing demand in CBD retail. Meanwhile, the suburban market will continue to register rental increases amid strong demand.

Residential

• Residential rents have seen a historic run-up since 2021 due to tight supply and robust demand. This unrelenting surge in rents is expected to face resistance in 2023 amid a significant increase in completions. Correspondingly, price growth which was underpinned by strong economic growth and rising rents is set to moderate due to a weaker economic outlook.

Capital Markets

• Despite softening investor sentiments, due to its business-friendly policies and stable political backdrop, Singapore remains a top investment destination in 2023 for investors who are looking to capture the growth potential in Southeast Asia and/or diversify their portfolios.

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com.sg/insights/reports/2023-singapore-real-estate-market-outlook

Download the ReportDownload the Report Read More

The 2023 Colliers Global Investor Outlook provides insights from the global survey of our international investor client base, technically analysed by our industry-leading research teams along with views and perspectives from Colliers’ senior experts across markets globally.

Real estate is by no means immune to the volatility impacting capital markets. Yet, it’s also immediately evident that the fundamentals around real estate remain strong. Investors are highly attuned to some advantages that today’s scenario present across asset classes.

As the report highlights, a recalibration is underway in many markets, that we expect to continue well into 2023. Colliers’ consensus is that the global real estate market will start to stabilise by mid-2023 as more certainty emerges around the interest rate outlook. We recommend investors view recent trends not so much as a downturn but as a return to relative rationality.

This report was originally published in https://www.colliers.com/en-sg/research/2023-global-investor-outlook-apac-highlights

Download the Report Read More

Storm Clouds Gather

Asia Pacific property markets face a number of battle fronts in 2023. The first is external to the region as the war in Ukraine combined with post-COVID supply chain disruption has fueled inflation causing central banks to raise rates and in doing so cool growth. This is nowhere more apparent than in the US and Europe, the final demand markets for Asia’s exports. The second is within the region itself and concerns its largest economy, China, which accounts for 53% of the region’s GDP and almost a third of all manufactured products. A low growth and, thanks to zero-COVID policies and a more assertive political direction, more isolated China, is depriving real estate capital of a universe of investment opportunities while funds flowing out of the Mainland have slowed to a trickle. The final battle front is longer term and structural and concerns how people work and shop and how new technologies are tearing down the old boundaries between asset classes while creating new ones in an orgy of creative destruction. Something familiar to markets globally.

Read More