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Key trends

  • Retail sales growth slows
  • Many retailers push back expansionary plans to 2022
  • F&B dominates leasing demand
  • Leasing in CBD areas remains limited
  • Pandemic-related risk remains major concern
  • Recovery to regain momentum as festive season nears

This article was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/

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New Zealand’s recovery from the impact of Covid-19 got underway in 2021 however by this was derailed in August by the Delta variant, which returned the country into a nationwide lockdown, and resulted in the closure of the trans-Tasman bubble border.
 
Despite the Covid-19 challenges, transaction activity has remained buoyant with $300+ million sales YTD in 2021, characterised by firm yields, unsatisfied capital, and a scarcity of quality purchase opportunities.

This article was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/

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Fukuoka's residential market remains resilient

  • Fukuoka has been the fastest growing city among major regional cities in Japan.
  • The city's compact and convenient layout, young demographics, and accommodating attitude towards new ideas attract students, workers, and entrepreneurs.
  • With the leadership of its media-savvy mayor, Fukuoka is striving to become a leading city in Asia with start-ups, digital transformation, and redevelopment.
  • The central areas, such as Tenjin and Hakata, have seen sound demographic growth, and redevelopment projects such as Tenjin Big Bang and Hakata Connected should further help to make these areas attractive.
  • As a major beneficiary of inbound tourism until the pandemic, the progress towards the normalisation of international travel is a welcoming development for Fukuoka.

This article was originally published in https://www.savills.co.jp/

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Following the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, Australia’s anticipated gradual recovery in 2021 was derailed by the DELTA variant which returned Sydney, Melbourne and Canberra into extended lockdown and border closures nationally.

The lockdowns and associated travel restrictions have activated Australians to become “double vaccinated” with the 80% target to be achieved by December this year, which will then increase to 90%.

Restricted international travel will recommence in Australia in November 2021 and will gradually increase as travel bubbles are initially established, which will inevitably lead to normal international travel.

Despite the COVID challenges, transaction activity has remained buoyant with $1+ billion sales YTD in 2021, characterised by firm yields, unsatisfied capital, and a scarcity of quality purchase opportunities. 

This augurs well for improved conditions in 2022 after the summer break and we would expect that:

  • Domestic leisure will return to key city destinations, having been absent for two years and to experience new hotel inventory
  • Domestic leisure will continue to support the regional drive markets
  • Corporate activity will begin to rebound in Q1 2022 and continue as Australia “gets back to business”
  • International travel will resume and gradually build with IATA expecting that 2019 levels will be reached in 2023/24.

This article was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/

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Investment sentiment continues to recover

North Asia led the region’s recovery with a strong flow of investment activity while Southeast Asian markets are anticipated to steadily reopen borders by implementing a variety of travel schemes.

  • In Q3/2021, an APAC hotel investment volume of US$2.2 billion was registered across 43 transactions, up 12% yearon- year (YoY). 75% of the transactions were completed by domestic buyers. The top three most active markets this quarter were Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, together accounting for 51% of the total regional hotel sales volume. 
  • With three transactions, Japan led the region with a total hotel transaction volume of US$590 million, a sharp increase compared to the same quarter last year which reported US$168 million
  • Taiwan recorded US$265 million across six transactions. This reflects a decrease of 72% YoY, mainly due to the sale of Sunworld Dynasty, largest hotel transaction of 2020. 
  • Reporting the highest number of transactions in the region this quarter, South Korea registered US$253 million across ten transactions.

This article was originally published in https://www.savills.co.jp/

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