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In the last five years, Asia’s share of the FTSE EPRA/Nareit Developed Index, the most widely followed real estate index globally, has declined from 25.0% in 2017 to 21.0% at the end of 2022.  This movement can be largely attributed to the growth of U.S. REITs, shifting the balance of power within the listed universe further to North America, whose share of the index rose from 57.1% in 2017 to 64.0% in 2022.

The growth in the U.S. REIT universe has been driven by the emergence of a wide range of alternative real estate sectors that have arisen from structural shifts in the economy and strong demand from equity investors.  The share of these alternatives in the U.S. portion of FTSE EPRA/Nareit Developed Index rose from 34.0% in 2007, to 47.5% in 2017 and 55.0% in 2022.

Growth in the U.S. listed REIT universe has been so prominent, that index constructors such as FTSE introduced capped indices, limiting the size of the U.S. component to avoid global indices being increasingly seen as ‘US & others’ and diminishing their usefulness to investors.

One might ask: Why has Asia been unable to keep pace with the growth in U.S. alternative REITs? In fact, Asia’s alternative REIT universe has grown even faster than in the U.S.. While Asia’s weight in the global REIT index fell – from 27.1% in 2017 to 21.0% in 2022, the weight of Asian alternative REITs increased from 2.3% of the global index to 3.8%, respectively. Looking only at the Asian REIT universe, alternative REITs grew their weight by an impressive 114.7%, from 8.5% in 2017 to 18.2% 2022.

This paper, written by Joachim Kehr, Head of Asia-Pacific and a Senior Partner at CenterSquare Investment Management, investigates the sectors behind the expansion of alternative REITs in the U.S. and Asia over time and explores which sectors offer the biggest growth potential for Asian alternative REITs, proposing additional steps to sustain this growth going forward.

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Although no two cycles are the same, looking at bear markets since the 1970's, we believe a 'typical recession' has already been priced in and the path forward for REITs offers promise.

This report was originally published in https://www.hazelview.com/news-updates/our-thinking/details/our-thinking/2022/08/08/global-reits-through-economic-cycles

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REITs and Infrastructure Trusts have been gaining traction across Asia-Pacific. Many countries have begun to test waters by releasing their pioneer REITs. Philippines has launched their pioneer REIT in 2020, alongside UAE that released their first Green REIT, whilst China’s highly anticipated REIT pilot program finally came to fruition in June 2021, with the launch of the retail tranches of its first nine REITs all oversubscribed on its first day. China REITs are currently only backed by infrastructure assets packaged in a mutual fund structure, deliberately picked by authorities to spearhead the country’s recovery from the pandemic.

India made its debut for REITs with Blackstone and Embassy-sponsored Embassy Office Parks REIT getting listed on April 1, 2019 as India’s first Real Estate Investment Trust.

Two other REITs, the Raheja Group-backed Mindspace Business Parks REIT and more recently, Brookfield India REIT, have also debuted on the Indian stock exchanges. Together, these three REITs total approximately USD 7.5 billion of market capitalization and cover 86.0 million square feet of Grade-A commercial office space in India. India’s infrastructure investment trust (InvIT) market is growing leaps and bounds and stands at over USD 10billion and is expected to expand to over US$100 billion in the next five years, according to CRISIL Ratings.

The adoption of REITs will continue to accelerate with momentum in 2022 likely to be sustained by the region’s emerging markets. Thailand has already four in waiting. Philippines unveiled its first REIT at the height of the pandemic last year.

This reference guide covers REITs and Infrastructure Trust regulations and taxation in Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, and Singapore.

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Cushman & Wakefield’s 2021-2022 Asia REIT Market Insight report investigates the burgeoning Real Estate Investment Trust market in Asia, examining the primary drivers and state of play in key markets mainland China, Hong Kong SAR, India, Japan and Singapore.

The report reveals that, backed by robust capital structures, sufficient financial liquidity, and supportive regulatory policies, REITs continue to gain overall momentum as the pandemic subsides with logistics/industrial and data centre REITs outperforming more traditional asset classes.

Key highlights:

  • Asia market REITs recovered strongly during 2021 after demonstrating notable resilience through the peak of the COVID-19 period, supported by new economy asset classes.
  • Industrial and logistics REITs in the Asia market showed the greatest resilience, recording a total return of 24.7 percent, as all other asset classes achieved positive returns.
  • Supply chain uncertainties are creating demand as operators accumulate reserves of warehouse space.
  • Mature REIT markets can expect to see greater M&A activity through the remainder of 2022 while developing markets can expect to see growth of REITs accelerate.
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