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Cushman & Wakefield’s 2024 Asia Pacific Office Outlook provides supply, demand, vacancy and rent data forecasts for cities in Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.

REGIONAL OVERVIEW

Key Messages:

  • Inflation, though largely improved, remains above target bands in most markets across the region; a ‘higher for longer’ interest rate scenario is anticipated.
  • Asia Pacific economic growth is expected to slow but to remain in positive territory (3.5% to 4.0% real average annual growth) in 2024.
  • Despite a weaker economic outlook, regional office demand is forecast to reach pre-pandemic levels in 2024—but above average levels of new supply will drive vacancy higher.
  • Rental growth is forecast to remain flat in 2024 before slowly accelerating from 2025.
  • Newer, high-quality buildings are likely to outperform given the ongoing flight to quality.

Against a volatile economic backdrop, the Asia Pacific office market remains steadfast and continues to grow. Approximately 50 million square feet (msf) of Grade A office stock was absorbed across the region’s top 25 cities during the first nine months of 2023, with a further 12 msf expected in the final quarter. Annual office demand in 2023, forecast at 62 msf, is an 11% improvement on last year’s 55 msf.

New supply in 2023 will total 109 msf, outstripping demand and causing vacancy to tick upwards to 17.6% from 16.1% in 2022. Rental growth has subsequently slowed and is likely to be down around 0.5% on a weighted average basis.

The outlook remains broadly skewed to the positive. Demand is forecast to increase to 83 msf in 2024 and to 87 msf in 2025, which would match pre-pandemic performance. However, waves of new supply are also expected, with nearly 235 msf of completions forecast over the next two years to place further upward pressure on vacancy, which is now expected to peak at 18.4% in 2024 and then hold steady through 2025. This will keep downward pressure on rents which are likely to remain flat in 2024, at the weighted regional average level, before slowly accelerating from 2025. Accordingly, the window of opportunity remains open for occupiers over the near term.

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Picture this - despite around 43% of the installed power capacity of India being renewable, coal-based thermal power still contributes to almost 75% of its power generation. However, the country is making rapid strides towards achieving its ambitious goal of meeting 50% of its energy requirements from renewable energy by 2030.

The policy push has been strong, taking cues from which prominent real estate developers have begun to take meaningful steps towards attaining their ESG goals. Renewable energy, more often than not, is the first step towards achieving ESG compliance.

Through CBRE India’s first report on renewable energy, we have tried to answer the below questions and more:

  • What is the current state of renewable energy across India?
  • What are the policy measures that central and state governments are providing to boost the adoption of renewable energy in the country?
  • What are the common challenges that corporate occupiers face in adopting renewable energy and how can they overcome them?
  • What are the different renewable energy options available to corporates and how can they access those?
  • How are leading office developers in India aligned with sustainable power?
  • How can corporates achieve their renewable energy goals?

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/sustainable-energy-powering-india-s-offices

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It has become clear over the last decade that environmental, social and governance risks are financial risks. What does that look like for the year ahead? The 2024 edition of MSCI’s Sustainability and Climate Trends to Watch (formerly ESG and Climate Trends to Watch) brings together the key questions that our global research team are asking, and offers thoughtful analyses and useful insights to help assess and navigate the investment landscape that lies ahead.

This report was originally published in https://www.msci.com/research-and-insights/2024-sustainability-climate-trends-to-watch

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The year 2023 was an especially tough one for real estate. Declines in asset valuations, which had begun in the second half of 2022 in many markets, proliferated across a broader range of markets through the rest of 2023. Transaction volume also continued to fall through the year, with dealmaking often paralyzed by the standoff between potential buyers and sellers on pricing.

Investors will be hoping for a better 2024, where we find a floor in pricing that will return the market to more-normal levels of activity. When and how that happens remain to be seen. It may be through increased distress forcing sellers onto the market. Or we might eventually see interest rates start to fall, returning confidence to potential buyers. Whatever the details of exactly when and how we reach that point, the sudden market movements we’ve seen over the last 12 to 18 months have shifted the playing field. Investors are reassessing their real-estate allocations and strategies to mitigate significant risks but also exploit opportunities posed by this market dislocation.

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Climate risk has rapidly emerged as a critical consideration for real estate investors, owners and occupiers.

Managing climate risk starts with pinpointing climate-related hazards, reporting these risks, and finally embedding climate risk management into your organizational processes.

This guide is a companion to help you better identify and mitigate physical climate risks. It may seem like a big task, but we help outline simple steps.

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