Market Outlook

• Investment sentiment has improved since the abolition of double stamp duty in November 2020.
  
• Property funds accounted for 33% of investment volume in Q1 2021, including half of the ten largest deals.
  
• Industrial transactions represented 43% of total investment volume, the highest proportion since Q4 2005.
  
• CBRE expects new standard rates for lease modification for industrial redevelopment to boost investment in the sector this year.

• While there were still companies such as those from the technology sector looking to expand their operations, other tenants are in the process of contemplating ‘rightsizing’ as they adopt remote working practices.

• Leasing activity also came from tenants looking for replacement space as they are being forced to move from older buildings slated for redevelopment later this year. Moreover, due to the construction delays in upcoming new buildings, tenants with expiring leases in the near term may renew their leases or look for alternative space now.

• Sentiment amongst landlords of Grade A offi ces has been bolstered by delays in new supply, more workers returning to offi ces as limits on remote working measures get lifted and a healthy offi ce investment market.

• The overall vacancy rate in Savills basket of CBD Grade A offi ce buildings continued to increase for a fourth straight quarter by 0.3 of a percentage point (ppt) to 7.3% in Q1/2021.

• In Q1/2021, although the URA’s offi ce rental index for the Central Region showed a 3.3% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) increase, the average monthly rent in Savills basket of CBD Grade A offi ces fell for a fi fth consecutive quarter, albeit at a moderated pace of 1.2% QoQ, to S$9.41 per sq ft. We maintain our -5% YoY rental forecast.

Key Takeaways

1. Co-investment is a nifty tool of capital management that delivers efficiencies to both LPs and GPs.
2. A Category I / II AIF is not permitted to invest more than 25% of investible funds in a single investee company. This restricts the formation of dedicated co-investment vehicles.
3. The IFSCA issued a circular in late 2020 permitting AIFs in GIFT City to disapply the 25% diversity requirement subject to certain conditions.
4. More recently, SEBI released a consultation paper on the concept of ‘accredited investors’, which contemplates an enhanced degree of flexibility (including on the diversity requirement) for funds populated solely by AIs.
5. These new measures are likely to facilitate the proliferation of co-investment activity in India.

Manufacturing property as an asset class is rising in importance as more new or rejuvenated production locations outside of China emerge, with transactions of manufacturing assets growing 19% p.a. since 2011.

In the logistics sector, online grocery sales – the fastest-growing category of online retail sales in Asia Pacific – is predicted to rise 30% p.a., driving demand for last mile delivery facilities.

In this report, we examine:

• China Plus One strategies and the opportunities for industrial property occupiers and owners
• Opportunities in the last mile and cold chain segments of logistics networks
• The most attractive cities in Asia Pacific for industrial occupiers and owners
• Investment trends in key markets