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Most major regional economies continue to make steady progress after a devastating 2020 and ‘reform and recovery’ should emerge as the key themes of the year. While a smooth transition to normality is not assured (as India has shown) a pick-up in transactions volumes suggests a growing confidence among regional real estate investors as Asia continues to outpace both Europe and the US.

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Capital Markets

With economic recovery gaining traction, preliminary real estate investment volume in Singapore increased by 11.5% q-o-q, to $3.523 bn for Q1 2021.

 

Office

Supported by the tight vacancy, the rental decline in the Grade A (Core CBD) market was arrested after four quarters of correction. Conversely, the Grade B market continued to grapple with higher vacancy rates and rents registered a further decline.

Business Parks

The performance of the business park market softened slightly in Q1 2021. Negative net absorption was noted, contributed by the City Fringe submarket.

 

Retail

There has been a slowdown in rental declines of prime retail spaces. Landlords continue to maintain a flexible stance towards rental expectations.

 

Residential

The strong performance in the residential market has further shored up homebuyers’ confidence and take-up of new launches.

 

Industrial

Leasing activity was stable in Q1 2021, albeit slowing down from the strong performance of the previous quarter. Transactions consisted mainly of renewals and relocations, along with a handful of new set ups and expansions.

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Across the Asia Pacific region, property markets started the year on a strongAcross the Asia Pacific region, property markets started the year on a strongnote, with office, industrial and logistics assets driving the ongoing recovery.

 

In China, the busy first quarter saw end-users and investors, including foreign investors, closing major deals in keycities. There was a resurgence in investor interest in Hong Kong and Singapore, while Japan witnessed the completionof a number of commercial and residential transactions. In Korea, low interest rates and liquidity continued to fueldemand for office space, a trend likely to persist as competition intensifies for a shrinking pool of assets, while Taiwansaw demand spike for commercial properties. In Australia, a typically quiet quarter witnessed heightened activity in theoffice segment, while New Zealand’s property market, buoyed by policy changes, low interest rates and expectations ofreopened borders, is gearing up for an active year.

In the region’s emerging markets, India saw healthy demand for residential and commercial assets, and investorsremain bullish about the market’s medium to long-term prospects. Vietnam’s property sector is in the midst of arebound supported by government reforms, while Indonesia’s property market is benefiting from a smooth rolloutof vaccines and policy changes that should strengthen purchasing power, improve market confidence and encourageinvestment. Thailand is also witnessing higher levels of market activity, especially in the logistics, warehousing andindustrial sectors, but a rebound in the hospitality sector will depend on the resumption of international travel. In thePhilippines, where the economy shrunk last year for the first time since 1998, the property market is likely to pick upfollowing the easing of quarantine restrictions and the deployment of vaccines. Meanwhile, in Myanmar, the ongoingpolitical turmoil will affect the near-term outlook, but the market is expected to retain its long-term growth potential,especially in the infrastructure and industrial segments.

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Is Hong Kong is poised for a real estate resurgence?

Two years ago, Hong Kong was the world’s third largest real estate market, trailing only New York and London. The twin challenges of protests and a pandemic have taken their toll. So last week, Yardi called in the experts for their take on Hong Kong’s future.

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  • The aggregate performance of closed- and open-end real estate funds in the U.S. was strikingly similar in recent years, despite large differences in their strategic focus and the roles they play in institutional portfolios.
  • How investors timed their commitments to closed-end funds, as well as how managers drew down and returned capital to investors, contributed toward money-weighted returns that were 2 percentage points higher than their equivalent time-weighted returns.
  • Performance dispersion across closed-end funds created opportunity for investors able to select top-quartile managers, but even those making a large number of commitments potentially faced a wide range of portfolio returns.
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